Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 0.057562 0.067280 0.078108 0.091062 0.106139 0.123132 0.143742
2025-09-28 0.040935 0.053135 0.068176 0.088070 0.113691 0.145582 0.188318
2025-10-05 0.033146 0.046616 0.064555 0.090170 0.125799 0.173619 0.242739
2025-10-12 0.027538 0.041372 0.061003 0.090851 0.135079 0.198219 0.295307
2025-10-19 0.023379 0.037188 0.057891 0.091127 0.143134 0.221431 0.348418
2025-10-26 0.020465 0.034256 0.055969 0.092556 0.152651 0.247502 0.408797
2025-11-02 0.018429 0.032314 0.055171 0.095418 0.164504 0.278319 0.480352
2025-11-09 0.015708 0.028764 0.051168 0.092272 0.165787 0.291828 0.524683
2025-11-16 0.013920 0.026542 0.049056 0.091971 0.171717 0.313602 0.585641
2025-11-23 0.012335 0.024436 0.046825 0.091070 0.176303 0.333340 0.645138
2025-11-30 0.011326 0.023261 0.046116 0.092847 0.185972 0.363280 0.727091
2025-12-07 0.010135 0.021548 0.044141 0.091866 0.190117 0.383167 0.791944
2025-12-14 0.008933 0.019664 0.041619 0.089540 0.191455 0.398099 0.849634
2025-12-21 0.007841 0.017853 0.039012 0.086688 0.191345 0.410143 0.903079
2025-12-28 0.007314 0.017200 0.038743 0.088773 0.201952 0.445533 1.010458
2026-01-04 0.006733 0.016335 0.037893 0.089448 0.209523 0.475309 1.109278
2026-01-11 0.006187 0.015473 0.036929 0.089720 0.216189 0.503840 1.208831
2026-01-18 0.005775 0.014870 0.036480 0.091127 0.225648 0.539730 1.329884
2026-01-25 0.005487 0.014534 0.036613 0.093945 0.238826 0.585738 1.480749
2026-02-01 0.004891 0.013327 0.034473 0.090847 0.237075 0.596117 1.545922
2026-02-08 0.004508 0.012620 0.033488 0.090552 0.242332 0.624116 1.658713
2026-02-15 0.004134 0.011886 0.032337 0.089664 0.245937 0.648405 1.765012
2026-02-22 0.003915 0.011548 0.032179 0.091414 0.256741 0.692292 1.928315